Prono Ténérife contre Castellón du 11/01/2025 : misez sur les statistiques !

Tenerife vs Castellón: Betting Odds and Analysis for the Segunda Division Clash on 11/01/2025

As the Segunda Division heats up, all eyes are on the upcoming match between Tenerife and Castellón, scheduled for January 11, 2025, at the Heliodoro Rodríguez López stadium in Santa Cruz de Tenerife. This clash promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams looking to improve their standings in Spain’s second-tier football league. Let’s dive into an in-depth analysis of the betting odds and probabilities for this highly anticipated fixture.

Current Form and Team Standings

Before we delve into the betting odds, it’s crucial to understand the current form of both teams. Tenerife has been struggling in recent matches, finding themselves in a precarious 22nd position in the league table. Their last five games in all competitions have resulted in a string of losses, with their most recent match ending in a 0-3 defeat against Levante.

On the other hand, Castellón has shown slightly better form, currently holding the 12th position in the Segunda Division. Their recent results have been mixed, with their last outing resulting in a 0-2 loss against Elche. However, they’ve demonstrated more consistency in the league, with a win and two draws in their last five Segunda Division matches.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

Let’s examine the betting odds and probabilities for various outcomes of this match:

• Tenerife to win: Probability 39.01%, Odds 2.35
• Draw: Probability 34.07%, Odds 3.25
• Castellón to win: Probability 26.92%, Odds 2.85
• Over 1.5 goals in the match: Probability 64.29%, Odds 1.33
• Over 2.5 goals in the match: Probability 37.91%, Odds 2.17

These odds suggest a closely contested match, with a slight edge given to Tenerife despite their recent poor form. The home advantage at the Heliodoro Rodríguez López stadium could be a factor influencing these probabilities.

Goal Scoring Analysis

The betting odds for goals scored provide interesting insights into the expected nature of this match:

• The high probability (64.29%) for over 1.5 goals suggests that we’re likely to see at least two goals in this encounter.
• However, the lower probability (37.91%) for over 2.5 goals indicates that a high-scoring game is less likely.
• These figures align with the recent performances of both teams. Tenerife has been struggling to find the back of the net, scoring only 14 goals in their recent matches, while Castellón has been more prolific with 31 goals.

It’s worth noting that in their last head-to-head encounter on September 29, 2024, Castellón emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline. This historical data adds another layer to our analysis, suggesting that Castellón might have a psychological edge going into this match.

Betting Strategy and Recommendations

Considering the odds and recent form of both teams, here are some betting strategies to consider:

• Cautious Approach: The draw at 3.25 odds offers an attractive option, given the evenly matched nature of the teams and Tenerife’s home advantage balancing their poor form.
• Goal-Based Betting: The over 1.5 goals market at 1.33 odds seems the safest bet, with a high probability of 64.29%.
• Value Bet: For those looking for higher returns, Castellón to win at 2.85 odds could be a value bet, considering their better league position and recent head-to-head victory.
• Combination Bet: A combination of Castellón to win or draw (Double Chance) and over 1.5 goals could provide a balanced betting option.

It’s important to remember that while these odds and probabilities provide valuable insights, football remains an unpredictable sport. Factors such as team news, injuries, and last-minute changes can significantly impact the outcome of the match.

Conclusion

The Tenerife vs Castellón match on January 11, 2025, promises to be an intriguing Segunda Division encounter. While Tenerife holds a slight edge in the betting odds, their recent form suggests caution. Castellón, with their better league position and previous head-to-head victory, could prove to be tough opponents.

For bettors, the key lies in balancing the statistical probabilities with the current form and historical data. Whether you’re backing Tenerife to turn their form around, predicting a draw, or placing your faith in Castellón’s away performance, this match offers various exciting betting opportunities.

As always, bet responsibly and may the odds be ever in your favor in this thrilling Segunda Division clash!

References:
[1] Tenerife vs. Castellon – Segunda Division – January 11, 2025
[2] Tenerife vs CD Castellón live score, H2H and lineups – Sofascore
[3] Tables – Spain Segunda División 2024/2025 – Scoresway
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