Prono Real Madrid contre Las Palmas du 19/01/2025 : misez sur les statistiques !

Real Madrid vs Las Palmas: A Crucial La Liga Clash on 19/01/2025

As the 2024-2025 La Liga season heats up, all eyes are on the Santiago Bernabéu for a pivotal matchup between Real Madrid and Las Palmas. Set for January 19, 2025, this encounter promises to be a thrilling display of Spanish football at its finest. With Real Madrid in hot pursuit of the league leaders and Las Palmas fighting to climb the table, every point is crucial in this late-season clash.

Real Madrid’s Dominance: A Statistical Overview

Real Madrid enters this match as the clear favorite, with their impressive form reflected in both their league position and betting odds. Let’s break down the numbers:

• Real Madrid to win: Probability of 83.33% with odds of 1.11
• Draw: Probability of 8.08% with odds of 9.00
• Las Palmas to win: Probability of 8.59% with odds of 19.00

These statistics paint a picture of Real Madrid’s dominance, but in football, anything can happen. Los Blancos’ star-studded lineup, featuring the likes of Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior, has been in scintillating form this season. With 43 goals scored in 19 matches, Real Madrid boasts the second-best attack in La Liga, trailing only Barcelona in goal difference.

Las Palmas: The Underdogs with Bite

While the odds may be stacked against them, Las Palmas shouldn’t be underestimated. The Canary Islanders have shown flashes of brilliance this season, particularly in their attack led by Sandro Ramírez. With 24 goals in 19 matches, Las Palmas sits in a respectable 8th place for goals scored in the league.

However, their defensive record tells a different story. Having conceded 29 goals, Las Palmas ranks 13th in goals allowed, which could be a significant factor against Real Madrid’s potent attack. Key players to watch for Las Palmas include:

• Sandro Ramírez: 7 goals (9th in the league)
• Fabio Silva: 5 goals
• Alberto Moleiro: 4 goals and 1 assist

Betting Insights: Goals Galore?

For those looking to place a wager on this match, the over/under markets offer intriguing possibilities:

• Over 1.5 goals: Probability of 83.33% with odds of 1.05
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability of 61.62% with odds of 1.27

Given Real Madrid’s attacking prowess and Las Palmas’ defensive vulnerabilities, betting on a high-scoring affair seems a prudent choice. The over 2.5 goals market, in particular, offers better value with its more attractive odds while still carrying a favorable probability.

Expert Betting Advice

Considering the statistical analysis and recent form of both teams, here’s our recommended betting strategy for this match:

1. Real Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals: This combination bet leverages Real Madrid’s high win probability with the likelihood of a multi-goal game.
2. First half over 1.5 goals: Real Madrid often starts strong at home, and Las Palmas might push for an early goal to stay competitive.
3. Kylian Mbappé to score anytime: As the league’s second-top scorer, Mbappé is always a threat and likely to find the net.

Remember, while these bets are based on statistical analysis, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

Conclusion: A David vs Goliath Encounter

As Real Madrid and Las Palmas prepare to face off on January 19, 2025, fans can expect an exciting match filled with attacking football. While Real Madrid enters as heavy favorites, Las Palmas has shown they can compete with the best on their day. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a casual observer, this La Liga clash promises to be a spectacle not to be missed.

References:
[1] Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas (Jan 19, 2025) Pregame
[2] Las Palmas v R. Madrid, 2024/2025 | La Liga
[3] Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas (Jan 19, 2025) Live Score
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