Prono Norwich City contre Millwall du 26/12/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Norwich City vs Millwall: Championship Clash and Betting Odds for 26/12/2024

As the festive season approaches, football fans are gearing up for an exciting Championship fixture between Norwich City and Millwall on Boxing Day, 26/12/2024. This match, set to take place at Carrow Road, promises to be a thrilling encounter with significant implications for both teams’ standings in the league. Let’s dive into the details and analyze the betting landscape for this highly anticipated clash.

Current Form and Championship Standings

As we approach the midway point of the 2024-25 Championship season, both Norwich City and Millwall find themselves in the middle of the table, separated by just two points. The Canaries currently sit in 13th place with 26 points, while the Lions are slightly ahead in 10th with 28 points.

Norwich City’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with the team struggling to find consistency. They’ve shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in attack, having scored 37 goals this season – one of the highest in the league. However, their defensive record of 34 goals conceded is a concern that manager David Wagner will need to address.

Millwall, on the other hand, have been more solid defensively, conceding only 18 goals. However, their attacking output has been less impressive, with just 21 goals scored. This match could well be a classic contest between a potent attack and a stubborn defense.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The history between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to this Boxing Day fixture. Norwich City boasts an impressive home record against Millwall, remaining unbeaten in their last 20 home league matches against the Lions since 1968. However, Millwall will be buoyed by their 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture on December 29, 2023, and will be looking to secure consecutive wins against Norwich for the first time since 2001.

• Last five meetings:
  • 29/12/2023: Millwall 1-0 Norwich City
  • 20/08/2023: Norwich City 3-1 Millwall
  • 04/03/2023: Millwall 2-3 Norwich City
  • 19/08/2022: Norwich City 2-0 Millwall
  • 02/02/2021: Millwall 0-0 Norwich City

It’s worth noting that Norwich City has a poor recent record on Boxing Day, having lost their last five league games on this date. However, two of their last three wins on Boxing Day have come against Millwall, including a memorable 6-1 victory in 2014.

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

Let’s break down the betting odds and probabilities for this match:

• Norwich City to win: Probability 41.45%, Odds 2.18
• Draw: Probability 31.09%, Odds 3.15
• Millwall to win: Probability 27.46%, Odds 3.45
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 68.91%, Odds 1.30
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 40.41%, Odds 2.06

Analyzing these odds, we can see that the bookmakers slightly favor Norwich City to win, which aligns with their strong home record against Millwall. However, the relatively close probabilities suggest that this could be a tightly contested match.

The odds for over 1.5 goals look particularly attractive, with a high probability of 68.91% and odds of 1.30. Given Norwich’s attacking prowess and Millwall’s solid defense, this bet offers a good balance of risk and reward.

For those looking for higher returns, the over 2.5 goals market presents an interesting opportunity. With odds of 2.06 and a 40.41% probability, this bet could be worth considering, especially given Norwich’s tendency to be involved in high-scoring games.

Key Players to Watch

Several players could have a significant impact on this match:

• For Norwich City:
  • B Sainz: With 15 goals in 22 matches, he’s the Canaries’ top scorer and a constant threat.
  • J Sargent: Contributing 4 goals and 5 assists in just 12 appearances, he’s a key playmaker.
  • C Doyle: The defender has provided 5 assists, showcasing Norwich’s threat from all areas.
• For Millwall:
  • D Watmore: Leading the Lions’ attack with 5 goals in 18 matches.
  • G Honeyman: The midfielder has been crucial, providing 3 assists in 19 appearances.
  • J Tanganga: A defender with an eye for goal, having scored twice this season.

Conclusion and Betting Advice

Considering the historical context, current form, and betting odds, this match presents several intriguing betting opportunities. The safest bet appears to be over 1.5 goals, given the high probability and Norwich’s attacking style. For those seeking higher returns, backing Norwich to win or opting for over 2.5 goals could be worthwhile, albeit riskier, propositions.

However, it’s crucial to remember that Boxing Day fixtures can often produce surprising results, and Millwall’s recent victory against Norwich adds an element of unpredictability. As always, bet responsibly and within your means.

As the Championship continues to heat up, this Norwich City vs Millwall clash on 26/12/2024 promises to be a festive treat for football fans and bettors alike. With both teams eager to climb the table, we can expect a passionate and closely fought contest at Carrow Road.

References:
[1] Norwich City vs. Millwall (Dec 26, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[2] Norwich City v Millwall: Championship stats & head-to-head – BBC
[3] Millwall vs. Norwich City (Apr 21, 2025) Live Score – ESPN
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