Prono Newcastle United contre Liverpool du 04/12/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Premier League Clash and Betting Odds Analysis (04/12/2024)

The Premier League is set to deliver another thrilling encounter as Newcastle United hosts Liverpool at St. James’ Park on December 4, 2024. This matchup, steeped in history and rivalry, promises to be a pivotal fixture in the ongoing season.

Current Form and League Standings

Liverpool enters this match in scintillating form, currently topping the Premier League table with 34 points from 13 games. The Reds have won 11, drawn 1, and lost just 1 match, showcasing their dominance with a goal difference of +18. Their recent form has been nothing short of impressive, with five consecutive wins across all competitions.

Newcastle United, on the other hand, finds themselves in a more challenging position. Currently sitting 11th in the table with 19 points, the Magpies have had a mixed run of results. Their recent form shows signs of inconsistency, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five Premier League outings.

Head-to-Head and Recent Encounters

The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Liverpool, with the Merseyside club winning 80 of the 162 matches played between the two sides, compared to Newcastle’s 42 victories. Recent meetings have continued this trend:

• January 1, 2024: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle United
• August 27, 2023: Newcastle United 1-2 Liverpool
• February 18, 2023: Newcastle United 0-2 Liverpool

These results underscore Liverpool’s recent dominance in this fixture, which could play a significant psychological role in the upcoming match.

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

For those interested in sports betting, this match offers some intriguing options. Let’s break down the odds and probabilities:

• Newcastle United to win: Probability 28.57%, Odds 3.85
• Draw: Probability 21.43%, Odds 4.10
• Liverpool to win: Probability 50%, Odds 1.82
• Over 1.5 goals in the match: Probability 88.39%, Odds 1.14
• Over 2.5 goals in the match: Probability 66.96%, Odds 1.50

These odds reflect Liverpool’s favorable position going into the match. With a 50% probability of winning and odds of 1.82, Liverpool is considered the clear favorite. However, Newcastle’s home advantage shouldn’t be underestimated, as reflected in their 28.57% chance of victory.

The goal market also presents interesting opportunities. The high probability (88.39%) of over 1.5 goals suggests that we’re likely to see at least two goals in this match. The over 2.5 goals market, with a 66.96% probability, also looks attractive given both teams’ attacking capabilities.

Key Players to Watch

For Liverpool, all eyes will be on Mohamed Salah, who has been in phenomenal form this season with 10 goals and 7 assists in just 12 matches. Luis Díaz has also been impressive, contributing 5 goals and 2 assists.

Newcastle will be looking to Harvey Barnes and Alexander Isak, both of whom have shown flashes of brilliance this season. Barnes leads the team with 4 goals, while Isak has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 11 appearances.

Betting Advice

Considering the form and odds, a bet on Liverpool to win at 1.82 offers reasonable value. However, for those looking for higher returns, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.50 could be a smart choice, given both teams’ attacking prowess and the historical tendency for goals in this fixture.

For the more adventurous bettor, a combination bet of Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals could provide an attractive return. Always remember to gamble responsibly and within your means.

As the Premier League season heats up, this Newcastle United vs Liverpool clash promises to be a spectacle not to be missed. With high stakes, star players, and the potential for plenty of goals, football fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the kick-off at St. James’ Park on December 4, 2024.

References:
[1] Newcastle v Liverpool, 2024/25 – Premier League
[2] Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Premier League – BBC
[3] Newcastle vs. Liverpool (Dec 4, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
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