Prono Modena contre Palermo du 19/10/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Modena vs Palermo: Serie B Clash on 19/10/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

As the Serie B season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike turn their attention to an intriguing matchup between Modena and Palermo, scheduled for 19/10/2024. This clash at the Stadio Alberto Braglia in Modena promises to be a captivating encounter, with both teams vying for crucial points in Italy’s second tier.

Recent Form and Team Dynamics

Before diving into the betting odds, let’s take a closer look at how both teams have been performing in recent matches:

• Modena: In their last 10 games, Modena have won 2, drawn 5, and lost 3. This translates to a 20% win rate, showcasing a team that’s been struggling to find consistency.
• Palermo: The Sicilian side has fared slightly better, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 outings, boasting a 40% win rate.

These statistics suggest that Palermo might have a slight edge in terms of recent form, but the match remains open with both teams showing vulnerabilities.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

Let’s break down the key betting options for this match:

• Modena to win: Probability of 36.22% with odds of 2.48
• Draw: Probability of 31.35% with odds of 3.00
• Palermo to win: Probability of 32.43% with odds of 3.00
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability of 65.41% with odds of 1.40
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability of 32.97% with odds of 2.38

These odds reflect a closely contested match with a slight favoritism towards Modena, possibly due to their home advantage.

Goal Scoring Trends

An analysis of recent matches provides insight into the goal-scoring tendencies of both teams:

• Modena have seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 games, averaging 1.40 goals per match.
• Palermo, on the other hand, have had over 2.5 goals in only 30% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game.
• Both teams have scored (BTTS) in 70% of Modena’s recent games, compared to just 30% for Palermo.

These statistics suggest a higher likelihood of goals when Modena plays, which could influence betting strategies for this match.

Best Betting Strategies

Considering the odds and recent performances, here are some betting options that could offer value:

1. Over 1.5 goals: With a high probability of 65.41% and odds of 1.40, this bet offers a safer option for those looking for a more conservative approach.
2. Draw or Palermo (X2): Given Modena’s inconsistent form and Palermo’s slightly better win rate, a double chance bet on Palermo or a draw could be a strategic choice.
3. Both Teams to Score: With Modena’s games often seeing both teams score, this could be an attractive option, especially if the odds are favorable.

For those feeling more adventurous, the over 2.5 goals market at odds of 2.38 could offer good value, considering Modena’s tendency for high-scoring games.

Conclusion

The Modena vs Palermo match on 19/10/2024 presents an intriguing betting landscape. While Modena holds a slight edge in the odds, Palermo’s better recent form makes this a difficult match to predict with certainty. Smart bettors might lean towards options that don’t rely on picking an outright winner, such as the goals markets or double chance bets.

Remember, while these insights can guide your betting decisions, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and within your means. May the odds be ever in your favor!

References:
[1] Modena – Palermo Odds, Predictions & H2H | Odds Portal
[2] Modena vs Palermo Prediction, Betting Tips Analysis – MyBets Today
[3] Modena Palermo Betting Odds (19 October 2024) – SportyTrader
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