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Prono Getafe contre Atletico Madrid du 09/03/2025 : misez sur les statistiques !

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid: Betting Odds and Match Preview for 09/03/2025

As La Liga’s 2024-2025 season heats up, all eyes are on the upcoming clash between Getafe and Atletico Madrid scheduled for March 9, 2025, at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. This match, part of Round 27 of La Liga, promises to be an intriguing battle between a mid-table team and a title contender.

Current Form and Standings

Atletico Madrid enters this fixture in formidable form, currently holding the second position in La Liga with 56 points from 26 matches. Their impressive record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and only 2 losses underscores their title aspirations this season.

In contrast, Getafe finds themselves in a more precarious 14th position, having accumulated 30 points from the same number of matches. With 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, Getafe’s primary objective remains securing their top-flight status for another season.

Head-to-Head and Recent Performance

The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Atletico Madrid, with the capital club boasting 24 wins to Getafe’s solitary victory, alongside 7 draws. More tellingly, Atletico Madrid has maintained an impressive 29-match unbeaten streak against Getafe, a psychological edge that cannot be understated.

Recent form also tips the scales in Atletico’s favor. While Getafe has managed to score 4 goals in their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid has been more prolific, netting 10 times over the same period. Additionally, Atletico boasts the best defensive record in La Liga, having kept a league-high 13 clean sheets this season.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

For those looking to place a wager on this encounter, here’s a breakdown of the betting odds and probabilities:

  • Getafe to win: Probability 25.93%, Odds 4.50
  • Draw: Probability 25.93%, Odds 3.10
  • Atletico Madrid to win: Probability 48.15%, Odds 1.94
  • Over 1.5 goals: Probability 44.44%, Odds 1.55
  • Over 2.5 goals: Probability 29.63%, Odds 2.80

Analyzing these odds, it’s clear that bookmakers favor an Atletico Madrid victory, with nearly a 50% probability assigned to this outcome. The relatively low odds of 1.94 reflect this sentiment, making it a less attractive option for high-risk bettors seeking substantial returns.

Interestingly, the probabilities for a Getafe win and a draw are identical at 25.93%. However, the higher odds for a Getafe victory (4.50) compared to a draw (3.10) suggest that backing the home team could be more rewarding for those willing to take a chance on an upset.

Regarding goal expectations, the odds suggest a strong likelihood of seeing at least two goals in the match, with a 44.44% probability for over 1.5 goals. However, the probability drops significantly for over 2.5 goals, indicating that bookmakers anticipate a relatively low-scoring affair.

Betting Recommendation

Considering Atletico Madrid’s superior form, their dominant head-to-head record against Getafe, and their position in the league table, backing an Atletico win seems the safest bet. However, the odds of 1.94 may not offer substantial value for many bettors.

For those seeking a higher potential return, the « Over 1.5 goals » market presents an intriguing option. With a probability of 44.44% and odds of 1.55, this bet offers a balanced combination of risk and reward. Atletico’s potent attack (43 goals scored in 26 matches) and Getafe’s vulnerability in defense suggest that at least two goals in the match is a realistic expectation.

Alternatively, for bettors with a higher risk appetite, backing Getafe to score (exact odds not provided) could be worth considering. Despite their lower league position, Getafe has managed to find the net consistently, scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Conclusion: Atletico Madrid vs Getafe

As March 9, 2025, approaches, the clash between Getafe and Atletico Madrid promises to be an exciting fixture in La Liga’s Round 27. While Atletico Madrid enters as clear favorites, the unpredictable nature of football means that Getafe cannot be entirely discounted, especially on their home turf.

For bettors, this match offers various opportunities across different markets. Whether you’re backing the favorite, anticipating goals, or hoping for an upset, always remember to gamble responsibly and within your means. As the teams prepare to battle it out at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, football fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating what promises to be a captivating La Liga encounter.

References:
[1] Getafe Laliga Standings | FOX Sports
[2] Getafe vs Atlético Madrid live score, H2H and lineups – Sofascore
[3] Getafe vs Atletico Madrid – live score, predicted lineups and H2H stats
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