Prono FC St. Pauli contre RB Leipzig du 22/09/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: Bundesliga Clash on 22/09/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

The Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg is set to host a thrilling Bundesliga encounter on September 22, 2024, as FC St. Pauli welcomes RB Leipzig for their first-ever top-flight meeting. This match, scheduled for 17:30 UTC, promises to be an intriguing battle between the newly-promoted underdogs and the established Bundesliga powerhouse.

Current Form and Standings

FC St. Pauli enters this match in a precarious position, currently sitting 17th in the Bundesliga table. The Hamburg-based club has endured a challenging start to their top-flight campaign, losing all three of their opening matches. Their recent form reads L-L-L, with their only goal of the season coming from midfielder Carlo Boukhalfa.

In stark contrast, RB Leipzig has enjoyed a strong start to the 2024/25 season. The Red Bulls are currently third in the table, with two wins and a draw from their first three matches. Their recent form stands at W-W-D, showcasing their consistency and quality. Leipzig’s attack has been potent, netting four goals so far, with Loïs Openda leading the charge with two strikes to his name.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

While this match marks their first Bundesliga encounter, FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig have a history dating back to their 2. Bundesliga days. Their last four meetings in the second tier saw St. Pauli emerge victorious in three, all with 1-0 scorelines. However, it’s worth noting that these matches took place between 2014 and 2016, and both teams have undergone significant changes since then.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

The betting odds for this match heavily favor RB Leipzig, reflecting the current form and standing of both teams:

• FC St. Pauli to win: Probability 12.8%, Odds 4.75
• Draw: Probability 27.44%, Odds 4.20
• RB Leipzig to win: Probability 59.76%, Odds 1.65
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 81.71%, Odds 1.18
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 56.1%, Odds 1.65

These odds suggest that bookmakers and analysts expect RB Leipzig to dominate the match, with a high likelihood of multiple goals being scored.

Key Players to Watch

For FC St. Pauli, all eyes will be on Carlo Boukhalfa, who has scored their only goal of the season so far. The midfield battle will be crucial, with captain Eric Smith likely playing a pivotal role in trying to disrupt Leipzig’s rhythm.

RB Leipzig boasts a wealth of talent, but Loïs Openda stands out as their danger man with two goals in three matches. The creative prowess of Xavi Simons in midfield could also prove decisive in breaking down St. Pauli’s defense.

Conclusion: Betting Recommendations

Considering the form, quality, and odds, backing RB Leipzig to win at 1.65 seems the safest bet. However, for those looking for higher potential returns, the « Over 2.5 goals » market at 1.65 is an attractive option, given Leipzig’s attacking prowess and St. Pauli’s defensive struggles.

For the more adventurous bettor, a correct score prediction of 2-1 to RB Leipzig could offer substantial returns while acknowledging St. Pauli’s home advantage and potential to score.

Remember, while the odds favor RB Leipzig heavily, football is unpredictable, and St. Pauli will be eager to prove themselves against a top Bundesliga side. As always, bet responsibly and within your means.

References:
[1] FC St. Pauli – RB Leipzig | Season 2024/2025 – Bundesliga
[2] St. Pauli vs. RB Leipzig (Sep 22, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[3] St. Pauli vs. RB Leipzig – 22 September 2024 – Soccerway
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