Prono Cardiff City contre Millwall du 01/10/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Cardiff City vs Millwall: Championship Clash on 01/10/2024

The Championship is set to deliver another thrilling encounter as Cardiff City hosts Millwall at the Cardiff City Stadium on October 1, 2024. This match, kicking off at 19:45 local time, promises to be a pivotal fixture for both sides as they navigate through the competitive landscape of England’s second-tier football.

Recent Form and Championship Standings

Cardiff City finds themselves in a precarious position, currently occupying the 24th spot in the Championship table with just 1 point from their opening fixtures. The Bluebirds are experiencing a challenging start to the season, having lost their last five matches across all competitions.

In contrast, Millwall sits in a more comfortable 14th place with 8 points. The Lions have shown mixed form recently, with their last outing resulting in a 3-1 victory against Preston North End, showcasing their potential to climb up the table.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The history between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming clash. In their last 26 meetings, Millwall holds a slight edge with 7 wins to Cardiff’s 5, while 14 matches ended in draws. The goal difference stands at 27-24 in favor of Millwall, indicating the closely contested nature of their encounters.

Last season’s fixtures saw both teams securing home victories, with Cardiff winning 1-0 at home and Millwall triumphing 3-1 at The Den. This pattern suggests that home advantage could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As we analyze the betting landscape for this fixture, several interesting trends emerge:

• Cardiff City to win: Probability 31.15%, Odds 2.95
• Draw: Probability 31.69%, Odds 2.80
• Millwall to win: Probability 37.16%, Odds 2.70
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 64.48%, Odds 1.47
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 40.98%, Odds 2.63

The odds slightly favor Millwall, reflecting Cardiff’s recent struggles. However, the close probabilities suggest a potentially tight contest.

Statistical trends provide further insights:

• Cardiff has lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 Championship home games.
• Millwall has scored fewer than 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 Championship away games against Cardiff.
• There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of the last 9 Cardiff home games against Millwall in the Championship.

These patterns suggest a potentially low-scoring affair, with Millwall having a slight edge, especially in the first half.

Key Factors to Watch

Several elements could influence the outcome of this match:

1. Cardiff’s Home Form: The Bluebirds have struggled at home, losing 6 of their last 7 Championship matches at Cardiff City Stadium.

2. Millwall’s Away Goal Drought: The Lions have historically struggled to score more than one goal at Cardiff, a trend that could continue.

3. First Half Performance: Cardiff’s tendency to concede early could give Millwall an advantage if they can capitalize on it.

4. Corner Count: Millwall games have consistently seen over 8.5 corners, which could be an interesting market for bettors to consider.

5. Cardiff’s Defensive Vulnerabilities: The home side has conceded in each of their last 8 Championship home games, putting pressure on their attack to compensate.

Conclusion

As Cardiff City and Millwall prepare to face off, the stage is set for an intriguing Championship battle. While Millwall enters as slight favorites, Cardiff’s desperation for points and home advantage could lead to surprises.

For those considering a wager, the « Both Teams to Score » market at odds of +117 presents an interesting option, given Cardiff’s defensive issues and the historical scoring patterns in this fixture. Additionally, backing Millwall to win the first half at odds of 3.5 could be a value bet, considering Cardiff’s recent struggles in opening periods.

Ultimately, this match promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having much to play for as they look to improve their positions in the Championship table.

References:
[1] Cardiff City vs Millwall » Predictions, Odds, Live Scores & Stats
[2] Cardiff City FC vs Millwall FC Live Odds & Player Props – OddsJam
[3] Cardiff City vs Millwall Match Live at 1 October 2024 – Scores24
Suivez le pronostic Cardiff City Millwall et optimisez votre pari sportif !