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Cagliari vs Inter Milan: A Crucial Serie A Clash on 28/12/2024

As the Serie A season heats up, all eyes turn to the Unipol Domus stadium where Cagliari will host league giants Inter Milan on December 28, 2024. This match promises to be a thrilling encounter between two teams with vastly different objectives for the season.

Current Form and Standings

Inter Milan, currently sitting in 3rd place with 37 points from 16 matches, have been in scintillating form. Their recent performances have been nothing short of spectacular, with a jaw-dropping 16 goals scored in their last four games. This offensive juggernaut, led by the prolific Marcus Thuram with 12 goals and 3 assists, will be looking to continue their goal-scoring spree.

On the other hand, Cagliari find themselves in a precarious 18th position, fighting to avoid relegation. With just 14 points from 17 matches, the Sardinian side desperately needs a positive result to climb out of the danger zone. Their top scorer, Roberto Piccoli, has netted 4 times this season, but the team’s overall tally of 16 goals highlights their offensive struggles.

Head-to-Head and Recent Performances

The history between these two sides favors Inter Milan. In their last five encounters:

• April 14, 2024: Inter Milan 2 – 2 Cagliari
• August 28, 2023: Cagliari 0 – 2 Inter Milan
• May 15, 2022: Cagliari 1 – 3 Inter Milan
• December 12, 2021: Inter Milan 4 – 0 Cagliari
• April 11, 2021: Inter Milan 1 – 0 Cagliari

Inter’s recent form has been impressive, with notable victories including a 6-0 thrashing of Lazio and a 2-0 win against Como. However, they did suffer a 1-0 loss to Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League.

Cagliari, meanwhile, has struggled, losing their last four Serie A matches. Their most recent outing resulted in a 2-1 defeat to Venezia, further compounding their relegation worries.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

The betting markets heavily favor Inter Milan for this encounter. Let’s break down the odds and probabilities:

• Cagliari to win: Probability of 15.31% with odds of 6.75
• Draw: Probability of 12.76% with odds of 4.80
• Inter Milan to win: Probability of 71.94% with odds of 1.41
• Over 1.5 goals in the match: Probability of 78.06% with odds of 1.15
• Over 2.5 goals in the match: Probability of 59.69% with odds of 1.58

These odds reflect Inter Milan’s dominant form and Cagliari’s struggles this season. The high probability for over 1.5 goals suggests that we’re likely to see some action on the scoresheet.

Key Players to Watch

For Inter Milan, all eyes will be on Marcus Thuram, who has been in sensational form with 12 goals and 3 assists. The creativity of Henrikh Mkhitaryan (4 assists) and the defensive solidity provided by Alessandro Bastoni (4 assists) will also be crucial.

Cagliari will be relying heavily on Roberto Piccoli to find the back of the net, while hoping for defensive stability from Sebastiano Luperto, who leads the team with 3 assists.

Match Prediction and Betting Advice

Given Inter Milan’s impressive form and Cagliari’s struggles, the smart money is on an Inter victory. However, the odds of 1.41 for an Inter win don’t offer much value for bettors.

For those looking for better value, consider these options:

• Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 odds seems attractive, given Inter’s recent goal-scoring form and Cagliari’s defensive vulnerabilities.
• A combination bet of Inter to win and over 2.5 goals could provide better odds while still being a likely outcome.
• For the more adventurous, backing Marcus Thuram to score anytime could be a worthwhile punt, given his prolific form this season.

Remember, while the statistics and form heavily favor Inter Milan, football is unpredictable, and Cagliari, fighting for survival, may just produce a surprise performance on their home turf.

As always, bet responsibly and within your means. Enjoy what promises to be an exciting Serie A clash!

References:
[1] Cagliari vs. Inter Milan – December 28, 2024 – FOX Sports
[2] Cagliari vs. Inter Milan (Dec 28, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[3] Cagliari vs Inter Milan: Serie A stats & head-to-head – BBC Sport
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