Prono Burnley contre Swansea City du 10/11/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Burnley vs Swansea City: Championship Clash and Betting Odds Analysis (10/11/2024)

As the 2024/2025 Championship season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike turn their attention to an intriguing matchup at Turf Moor. On November 10, 2024, Burnley will host Swansea City in a game that promises excitement both on the pitch and in the betting markets. Let’s dive into the details of this fixture and analyze the odds for those looking to place a wager.

Current Form and Standings

Burnley, currently sitting in 4th place with 24 points from 14 games, have shown impressive form this season. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses demonstrates their consistency and ability to compete at the top end of the table. The Clarets have been particularly strong at home, conceding just two goals in six league games at Turf Moor this season.

Swansea City, on the other hand, find themselves in 9th position with 19 points. With a record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, the Swans have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled to maintain consistency. Their away form has been a mixed bag, but they’ll be buoyed by their recent away victory against Oxford United.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The history between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. Burnley are looking to win three consecutive league games against Swansea for the first time since April 1936, a statistic that highlights the rarity of such a feat. However, Swansea’s last two visits to Turf Moor have ended in defeat without scoring, which could play on the minds of the Welsh side.

• Burnley’s home record: 2 goals conceded in 6 games
• Swansea’s away ambitions: Seeking consecutive away wins
• Historical note: Burnley aiming for a rare three-win streak against Swansea

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

For those considering a flutter on this Championship encounter, let’s break down the betting odds and their implied probabilities:

• Burnley to win: Probability 50.61%, Odds 1.77
• Draw: Probability 31.1%, Odds 3.40
• Swansea City to win: Probability 18.29%, Odds 4.90
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 71.34%, Odds 1.37
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 41.46%, Odds 2.17

Analyzing these odds, we can see that the bookmakers favor a Burnley victory, with just over a 50% chance. This aligns with Burnley’s strong home form and higher league position. However, the odds of 1.77 for a Burnley win don’t offer tremendous value given the relatively even probability.

The most attractive bet from a probability standpoint appears to be the over 1.5 goals market. With a 71.34% chance and odds of 1.37, this bet offers a good balance of probability and potential return. Burnley’s solid attacking record (17 goals scored) combined with Swansea’s defensive vulnerabilities (9 goals conceded) supports this bet.

Betting Recommendation

Considering the statistics and odds, the most prudent bet for this match would be over 1.5 goals. This option provides the highest probability of success while still offering a reasonable return. For those seeking higher risk and reward, a Burnley win combined with over 1.5 goals could be an enticing option, leveraging Burnley’s home strength and the likelihood of goals.

However, it’s important to note Burnley’s struggles in Sunday fixtures, having won just eight of their last 47 league matches played on this day. This factor adds an element of unpredictability to the encounter.

As always, responsible gambling is crucial. These odds and analyses provide insight, but the beautiful game often defies expectations. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a casual bettor, this Burnley vs Swansea City clash promises to be an engaging Championship fixture worth watching.

References:
[1] Burnley vs. Swansea (Nov 10, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[2] Burnley v Swansea, 2024/2025 | Sky Bet Championship
[3] Burnley vs Swansea City: Championship – BBC Sport
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