Prono Burnley contre Sunderland du 17/01/2025 : misez sur les statistiques !

Burnley vs Sunderland: Championship Clash and Betting Insights for 17/01/2025

As the 2024-2025 Championship season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike turn their attention to a pivotal match between Burnley and Sunderland, scheduled for January 17, 2025. This encounter promises to be a thrilling contest between two sides vying for promotion to the Premier League. Let’s delve into the details, analyze the odds, and explore the best betting opportunities for this highly anticipated fixture.

Team Form and Championship Standings

The current Championship table paints an intriguing picture of the two teams’ performances:

• Burnley: 2nd place with 52 points (W14 D10 L2)
• Sunderland: 4th place with 50 points (W14 D8 L4)

Burnley’s recent form has been impressive, with the team undefeated in their last 13 Championship matches. Their defensive prowess is particularly noteworthy, having kept clean sheets in 10 of their last 13 games. The Clarets boast the best defensive record in the league, conceding a mere 9 goals in 26 matches – an astounding average of 0.35 goals per game.

Sunderland, while slightly behind in the table, have shown their mettle with strong performances against top teams. In matches between the current top four Championship sides, Sunderland have maintained an impressive 1.8 points per game average (W2 D1 L1).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The historical matchup between these two sides adds another layer of intrigue to the upcoming clash:

• Total matches played: 81
• Burnley wins: 30
• Sunderland wins: 29
• Draws: 22

Recent history favors Sunderland, with Burnley winning just three of their last 23 league games against the Black Cats (D9 L11). However, Sunderland’s away record at Turf Moor has been less than stellar, failing to win any of their last five visits (D3 L2).

The most recent encounter on August 24, 2024, saw Sunderland edge out a 1-0 victory at home, potentially giving them a psychological edge heading into this match.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

Let’s examine the betting odds and probabilities for various outcomes in this match:

• Burnley to win: Probability 43.85%, Odds 2.25
• Draw: Probability 31.02%, Odds 3.10
• Sunderland to win: Probability 25.13%, Odds 3.35
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 66.31%, Odds 1.52
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 41.18%, Odds 2.63

These odds reflect a slight favoritism towards Burnley, likely due to their higher league position and strong home form. However, the relatively close probabilities suggest that bookmakers anticipate a competitive match.

Betting Analysis and Recommendations

Considering the teams’ recent performances, historical data, and the provided odds, here are some betting insights for the Burnley vs Sunderland match:

1. Under 2.5 goals (Odds 1.61): This bet appears to offer value. Burnley’s exceptional defensive record (0.35 goals conceded per game) combined with the fact that 18 of their last 20 Championship games have seen under 2.5 goals scored makes this an attractive option. The 58.82% probability (inverse of over 2.5 goals) further supports this bet.
2. Burnley Draw No Bet (Implied odds around 1.60): Given Burnley’s unbeaten run and strong home form, coupled with Sunderland’s struggles away from home, this bet provides a safety net in case of a draw while capitalizing on Burnley’s higher win probability.
3. Both Teams to Score – No (Odds not provided, but likely valuable): Burnley’s propensity for clean sheets, especially at home, makes this bet worth considering. However, Sunderland’s attacking capabilities (39 goals scored) suggest caution.
4. Double Chance – Burnley or Draw (Odds around 1.30): While the odds may not be as attractive, this bet combines Burnley’s higher win probability (43.85%) with the draw probability (31.02%), offering a 74.87% chance of a return.

For those seeking higher risk-reward ratios, consider these options:

• Correct Score 1-0 to Burnley
• Burnley to win to nil
• Under 1.5 goals

Remember, while these recommendations are based on statistical analysis and recent form, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

Conclusion: Burnley and Sunderland Set for a Tactical Battle

As January 17, 2025, approaches, all eyes will be on Turf Moor for this crucial Championship encounter. Burnley’s formidable defense will be tested by Sunderland’s potent attack in a match that could have significant implications for the promotion race. While the odds slightly favor a Burnley victory, Sunderland’s recent head-to-head success adds an element of uncertainty that makes this fixture all the more enticing for football fans and bettors alike.

Whether you’re a passionate supporter or a keen bettor, this Burnley vs Sunderland clash promises to be a highlight of the Championship calendar. As always, enjoy the beautiful game, but remember to gamble responsibly and within your limits.

References:
[1] Burnley-Sunderland – Championship 2024/2025 Head to Head …
[2] Burnley Head to Head Statistics Games, Soccer Results 17/01/2025
[3] Burnley vs Sunderland: Championship stats & head-to-head – BBC
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