Prono Burnley contre Portsmouth du 21/09/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Burnley vs Portsmouth: Championship Clash on 21/09/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

The Championship is set to deliver another thrilling encounter as Burnley welcomes Portsmouth to Turf Moor on September 21, 2024. This match promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the early stages of the season.

Current Form and Standings

Burnley finds themselves in a strong position, currently sitting 4th in the Championship table with 10 points from 5 games. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss demonstrates their solid start to the campaign. The Clarets have been particularly impressive in front of goal, netting 11 times while conceding only 3.

In stark contrast, Portsmouth occupies the 23rd spot, struggling with just 3 points from their opening 5 fixtures. The south coast side is yet to register a win, with 3 draws and 2 losses to their name. Their goal difference of -5 (6 scored, 11 conceded) further highlights their difficulties.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

The bookmakers heavily favor Burnley for this encounter, reflecting the significant gap in form and league positions. Let’s break down the odds and probabilities:

• Burnley to win: Probability 73.96%, Odds 1.49
• Draw: Probability 19.79%, Odds 4.30
• Portsmouth to win: Probability 6.25%, Odds 6.25
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 81.77%, Odds 1.23
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 55.21%, Odds 1.77

Match Analysis and Betting Recommendations

Given Burnley’s strong home record and Portsmouth’s struggles, a home win seems the most likely outcome. The 1.49 odds for a Burnley victory offer a safe bet, albeit with modest returns.

For those seeking higher potential returns, the over 2.5 goals market presents an interesting opportunity. With odds of 1.77 and a 55.21% probability, this bet balances risk and reward nicely. Burnley’s attacking prowess (11 goals in 5 games) combined with Portsmouth’s defensive frailties (11 goals conceded) suggests we could see a high-scoring affair.

The over 1.5 goals market, with its 81.77% probability, appears almost certain to hit. However, the low odds of 1.23 make this a less attractive option unless incorporated into a larger accumulator bet.

For the more adventurous bettor, considering a Burnley win combined with over 2.5 goals could yield more attractive odds while still staying within reasonable probability bounds.

Key Players to Watch

Keep an eye on Burnley’s midfield maestro J. Brownhill, who has already netted twice this season. For Portsmouth, C. Lang and C. Saydee lead the scoring charts with two goals each, despite the team’s overall struggles.

In conclusion, while Burnley enters as clear favorites, smart bettors should look beyond the simple win market to maximize value. The over 2.5 goals market or a combination bet involving a Burnley win could prove the most rewarding strategies for this Championship clash.

References:
[1] Burnley vs. Portsmouth (Sep 21, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[2] Burnley vs Portsmouth live score, H2H and lineups – Sofascore
[3] Burnley v Portsmouth LIVE 21/09/2024 | Football – Flashscore.com
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