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Bristol City vs Burnley: Championship Clash and Betting Insights for 23/11/2024

As the 2024/2025 Championship season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike are turning their attention to the upcoming clash between Bristol City and Burnley. Set to take place on November 23, 2024, at Ashton Gate Stadium, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the league.

Team Form and Championship Standings

Burnley, currently sitting in 4th place with 27 points from 15 games, has shown impressive form this season. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 losses, the Clarets have established themselves as strong contenders for promotion. Their goal difference of +12 speaks volumes about their balanced approach to the game.

Bristol City, on the other hand, finds themselves in 10th place with 22 points. With a record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, the Robins have shown resilience but lack the consistency of their opponents. Their goal difference of +1 indicates a more precarious balance between attack and defense.

Key Players to Watch

For Burnley, keep an eye on:

• Josh Brownhill – The midfielder has been in stellar form, netting 5 goals in 15 matches.
• Luca Koleosho – The young forward has contributed 2 goals and shows promise.
• Lyle Foster – With 2 assists, the defender has been crucial in setting up goals.

Bristol City’s danger men include:

• Nahki Wells – The forward leads the scoring charts for the Robins with 5 goals in 12 appearances.
• Anis Mehmeti – The midfielder has found the net 4 times in 14 matches.
• Jason Knight – With 4 assists in 15 games, Knight is the creative spark in midfield.

Betting Odds and Analysis

Let’s break down the betting odds for this intriguing fixture:

• Bristol City to win: Probability 26.26%, Odds 2.95
• Draw: Probability 30.17%, Odds 3.00
• Burnley to win: Probability 43.58%, Odds 2.55
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 72.07%, Odds 1.41
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 42.46%, Odds 2.30

The bookmakers clearly favor Burnley in this encounter, which aligns with their superior league position and recent form. However, home advantage for Bristol City shouldn’t be underestimated, as reflected in their reasonable odds for a win.

The high probability (72.07%) for over 1.5 goals suggests that we’re likely to see some action on the scoresheet. Both teams have shown they can find the back of the net, with Bristol City scoring 20 goals and Burnley 18 in their 15 matches played.

For those looking for value, the draw at 3.00 odds might be tempting, especially considering Bristol City’s tendency to share the spoils (7 draws so far this season).

Betting Recommendation

Given the odds and team performances, here’s our recommended bet for this match:

Consider backing Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.41. With a high probability of 72.07%, this seems the safest bet. Both teams have shown they can score, and Burnley’s attacking prowess combined with Bristol City’s home advantage suggests we’re likely to see at least two goals in this game.

For those seeking higher returns and willing to take more risk, the Over 2.5 goals market at odds of 2.30 could be attractive. While less probable at 42.46%, it offers better value and could pay off given both teams’ offensive capabilities.

As always, remember to gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose. The beautiful game is full of surprises, and while statistics and form guide us, anything can happen on matchday.

References:
[1] Burnley v Bristol City, 2024/2025 | Sky Bet Championship
[2] Burnley vs. Bristol City (29 Mar, 2025) Live Score – ESPN (UK)
[3] Bristol City vs Burnley – Championship 2024/2025 – Betting Showcase
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