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Bologna vs Monza: Serie A Clash and Betting Insights for 18/01/2025

As the Serie A 2024/2025 season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike turn their attention to an intriguing matchup between Bologna and Monza, scheduled for January 18, 2025, at the Renato Dall’Ara stadium. This fixture promises an exciting clash between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the current campaign.

Team Form and Season Performance

Bologna, currently sitting comfortably in 8th place with 30 points from 19 matches, has been one of the surprise packages of the Serie A season. Under the guidance of manager Vincenzo Italiano, the Rossoblu have displayed remarkable consistency, boasting a record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and only 3 defeats. Their impressive tally of 29 goals scored showcases their offensive prowess, while conceding 25 goals indicates room for defensive improvement.

In stark contrast, Monza finds themselves rooted to the bottom of the table, occupying the 20th position with a mere 13 points from 19 matches. The Biancorossi’s struggle is evident in their record of 1 win, 7 draws, and 11 defeats. With only 19 goals scored and 28 conceded, Monza’s new manager Salvatore Bocchetti faces an uphill battle to salvage their season.

Head-to-Head and Recent Form

The historical head-to-head record favors Bologna, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their 6 previous encounters with Monza. Their most recent meeting, a Coppa Italia clash on December 3, 2024, saw Bologna emerge victorious with a resounding 4-0 win.

• Bologna’s recent form: D-W-W-L-D-D (Last 6 matches)
• Monza’s recent form: W-L-L-L-L (Last 5 matches)

Bologna’s home record has been particularly strong, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 defeat at the Renato Dall’Ara this season. Monza’s away form, on the other hand, has been concerning, with just 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 defeats on their travels.

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

Let’s delve into the betting odds and probabilities for this upcoming fixture:

• Bologna to win: Probability 55.79%, Odds 1.60
• Draw: Probability 29.47%, Odds 3.75
• Monza to win: Probability 14.74%, Odds 5.75
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 75.79%, Odds 1.32
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 47.37%, Odds 2.10

The odds clearly favor a Bologna victory, reflecting their superior league position and recent form. The high probability for over 1.5 goals suggests that we can expect some action on the scoresheet.

Key Factors Influencing the Match

Several factors could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this match:

• Bologna’s strong home record and offensive capabilities
• Monza’s struggle for form and defensive vulnerabilities
• The tactical approach of Bologna’s manager Vincenzo Italiano
• The potential impact of Monza’s new manager Salvatore Bocchetti
• Key players to watch: Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) and Milan Djuric (Monza)

Betting Recommendations

Considering the analysis of odds, probabilities, and team performances, here are some betting recommendations for the Bologna vs Monza match:

1. Bologna to win (1.60): With a 55.79% probability, this appears to be the safest bet. Bologna’s home advantage and superior form make them clear favorites.
2. Over 1.5 goals (1.32): The high 75.79% probability suggests this is a relatively safe bet, although the lower odds reflect this.
3. Both teams to score – No (1.79): Given Monza’s scoring struggles and Bologna’s solid home defense, this could offer good value.
4. Bologna to win and Over 2.5 goals: For those seeking higher returns, this combination bet could be worth considering, given Bologna’s attacking prowess and Monza’s defensive frailties.

While the odds favor Bologna, it’s important to remember that in football, anything can happen. Monza, despite their struggles, showed signs of life with a recent victory against Fiorentina. However, the challenge of facing Bologna away from home may prove too much for Bocchetti’s side at this stage.

As always, we encourage responsible gambling. Odds and probabilities are subject to change, and it’s crucial to do your own research before placing any bets. Enjoy the match, and may the odds be in your favor!

References:
[1] Bologna FC 1909 – AC Monza prediction & tips 18.01.2025
[2] Bologna vs Monza: Serie A stats & head-to-head
[3] Bologna vs Monza – Serie A 2024/2025 – Betting Showcase
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