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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: La Liga Clash and Betting Insights for 12/01/2025

As the 2024-2025 La Liga season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike are turning their attention to an exciting matchup between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, scheduled for January 12, 2025. This clash at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams looking to secure crucial points in their respective campaigns.

Current Form and Standings

Atletico Madrid, currently sitting in second place with 41 points from 18 matches, has been in impressive form this season. With 12 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss, Diego Simeone’s men have established themselves as serious title contenders. Their goal difference of +21 underscores their potent attack and solid defense.

Osasuna, on the other hand, finds themselves in a respectable 10th position with 25 points from 18 games. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses indicates a team capable of competing with the best but struggling with consistency.

Key Players to Watch

• Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid): The Norwegian forward has been in fine form, netting 8 goals in 18 matches.
• Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid): With 7 goals and 4 assists, the French international continues to be a crucial playmaker for Los Colchoneros.
• Ante Budimir (Osasuna): Leading the charge for Osasuna with an impressive 10 goals in 18 appearances.
• Rodrigo de Paul (Atletico Madrid): The midfield maestro has been pulling the strings with 5 assists to his name.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

For those looking to place a wager on this exciting fixture, here are the current odds and probabilities:

• Atletico Madrid to win: Probability 76.29%, Odds 1.28
• Draw: Probability 16.49%, Odds 5.30
• Osasuna to win: Probability 7.22%, Odds 10.50
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 77.84%, Odds 1.23
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 58.25%, Odds 1.81

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record between these two teams adds an interesting dimension to this matchup:

• May 19, 2024: Atletico Madrid 1 – 4 Osasuna
• September 28, 2023: Osasuna 0 – 2 Atletico Madrid
• May 21, 2023: Atletico Madrid 3 – 0 Osasuna
• January 29, 2023: Osasuna 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid
• February 19, 2022: Osasuna 0 – 3 Atletico Madrid

While Atletico Madrid has dominated most of their recent encounters, Osasuna’s surprising 4-1 victory in their last meeting adds an element of unpredictability to this fixture.

Betting Analysis and Recommendations

Considering the current form, standings, and historical data, here are some betting insights for the upcoming match:

• Atletico Madrid to Win (1.28): With a high probability of 76.29%, this seems like a safe bet, albeit with low returns.
• Over 1.5 Goals (1.23): Given the attacking prowess of both teams, particularly Atletico, this bet has a high likelihood of success at 77.84%.
• Over 2.5 Goals (1.81): A more lucrative option with decent odds and a 58.25% probability, considering Atletico’s goal-scoring form and Osasuna’s recent high-scoring encounter against them.
• Both Teams to Score: While not listed in the provided odds, this could be an interesting bet given Osasuna’s ability to find the net against top teams.

For those looking for higher returns, a combination bet of Atletico to win and over 2.5 goals could provide good value, balancing probability with potential payout.

Conclusion

As Atletico Madrid and Osasuna prepare to face off on January 12, 2025, all signs point to an exciting match with potential for goals. While Atletico are clear favorites, Osasuna’s recent victory against them suggests they shouldn’t be underestimated. For bettors, a mix of safe bets on Atletico’s win or over 1.5 goals, combined with more speculative bets on higher goal counts, could provide an engaging and potentially rewarding experience.

Remember, while betting can add excitement to the match, it’s crucial to gamble responsibly and within your means. Enjoy the game, and may the odds be ever in your favor!

References:
[1] Atlético vs. Osasuna (Jan 12, 2025) Live Score – ESPN
[2] Atlético Madrid – CA Osasuna Live – La Liga – Eurosport
[3] Atl. Madrid v Osasuna LIVE 12/01/2025 | Football – Flashscore.com
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