Prono Atletico Madrid contre Alaves du 23/11/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: A Crucial La Liga Clash on 23/11/2024

As the 2024-2025 La Liga season heats up, all eyes are on the upcoming match between Atletico Madrid and Deportivo Alaves, set to take place on November 23, 2024, at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. This fixture promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the current campaign.

Current Form and Standings

Atletico Madrid, under the guidance of their seasoned manager Diego Simeone, finds themselves in a strong position in the league table. Currently sitting third with 26 points from 13 matches, Los Colchoneros have demonstrated their title credentials with a solid record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss. Their impressive goal difference of +12 underlines their potency in attack and resilience in defense.

In contrast, Deportivo Alaves has had a more challenging start to the season. Positioned 15th in the table with 13 points from 13 games, the Basque outfit has managed 4 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses. Their negative goal difference of -8 highlights the struggles they’ve faced at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head and Recent Encounters

The history between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. In their last five encounters:

• April 21, 2024: Alaves 2 – 0 Atletico Madrid
• October 29, 2023: Atletico Madrid 2 – 1 Alaves
• April 2, 2022: Atletico Madrid 4 – 1 Alaves
• September 25, 2021: Alaves 1 – 0 Atletico Madrid
• March 21, 2021: Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Alaves

This record shows a competitive series of matches, with Atletico holding a slight edge but Alaves proving capable of causing upsets, especially in more recent encounters.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

For those interested in the betting aspect of this fixture, the odds present an interesting picture:

• Atletico Madrid to win: Probability 80.31%, Odds 1.37
• Draw: Probability 13.99%, Odds 4.80
• Alaves to win: Probability 5.7%, Odds 9.00
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 75.65%, Odds 1.30
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 55.96%, Odds 2.02

These odds heavily favor an Atletico Madrid victory, reflecting their superior league position and overall form. The high probability for over 1.5 goals suggests that we can expect some action in front of goal, although the slightly lower probability for over 2.5 goals indicates that a high-scoring affair is less certain.

For bettors looking to maximize their chances of a return, the safest bet appears to be on Atletico Madrid to win or over 1.5 goals in the match. However, the relatively low odds for these outcomes mean that the potential returns are modest.

Those seeking higher returns might consider a more risky bet on the exact scoreline or first goalscorer. Antoine Griezmann and Álvaro Morata, Atletico’s top scorers this season, could be worth considering for such bets.

It’s worth noting that Alaves has shown the ability to surprise, as evidenced by their 2-0 victory over Atletico in their most recent encounter. While the odds are against them, a bet on Alaves or a draw could yield significant returns for those willing to take the risk.

Key Players to Watch

For Atletico Madrid, keep an eye on:

• Antoine Griezmann: Leading the team in both goals and assists
• Álvaro Morata: Joint top scorer for Atletico this season
• Koke: The midfield maestro who dictates the tempo of Atletico’s play

For Deportivo Alaves, look out for:

• Andoni Gorosabel: A key figure in Alaves’ defense
• Abde Rebbach: A promising forward who could cause problems for Atletico’s defense
• Jon Karrikaburu: Another attacking threat for Alaves

Conclusion: A David vs Goliath Encounter

As Atletico Madrid and Deportivo Alaves prepare to face off on November 23, 2024, the stage is set for an intriguing La Liga encounter. While Atletico are clear favorites, Alaves’ recent victory over them serves as a reminder that in football, anything can happen.

For those looking to place a bet, the smart money is on an Atletico win or over 1.5 goals. However, the brave might be tempted by the long odds on an Alaves upset. Whatever the outcome, this match promises to be a crucial fixture in the context of both teams’ seasons – Atletico pushing for the title, and Alaves fighting to climb away from the relegation zone.

As the whistle blows at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, football fans and bettors alike will be watching with bated breath to see if form and odds prevail, or if we’re in for a La Liga shock.

References:
[1] Atlético vs. Alavés (Nov 23, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
[2] Atlético v Alavés, 2023/2024 | La Liga – Premier League
[3] Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés live score, H2H and lineups
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