Prono Stoke City contre Middlesbrough du 25/02/2025 : misez sur les statistiques !

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: Championship Clash on 25/02/2025 – Betting Preview and Analysis

The EFL Championship is set for another thrilling encounter as Stoke City prepares to host Middlesbrough at the bet365 Stadium on February 25, 2025. This match promises to be a crucial fixture for both sides as they navigate through the challenging waters of England’s second tier.

Current Form and Standings

As we approach this pivotal clash, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the Championship table. Stoke City, once a Premier League mainstay, are currently languishing in 19th place, desperately fighting to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, sit in a more comfortable 13th position, still harboring hopes of making a late push for the playoff spots.

Recent form paints a concerning picture for both sides:

• Stoke City: LWLWD (Last 5 matches)
• Middlesbrough: LLLLL (Last 5 matches)

Stoke’s inconsistency is evident, with their last victory coming against Swansea City in a 3-1 home win. Middlesbrough, however, are enduring a torrid run, having lost their last five consecutive matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Bristol City in their most recent outing.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The history between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to this fixture. In their 74 previous encounters:

• Stoke City have won 25 matches
• Middlesbrough have won 32 matches
• There have been 17 draws

Their most recent meeting on September 27, 2024, saw Middlesbrough emerge victorious with a 2-0 win at home. However, Stoke exacted revenge in the EFL Cup just a month earlier, thrashing Middlesbrough 5-0 away from home. These contrasting results highlight the unpredictable nature of this fixture.

Injury Concerns and Team News

Both teams are grappling with injury issues that could impact their performance:

Stoke City:

• Ryan Mmaee (Forward) – Muscle injury, expected return early March 2025
• Eric Bocat (Defender) – Calf injury, expected return late February 2025

Middlesbrough:

• Darragh Lenihan (Defender) – Ankle injury, expected return late March 2025
• Riley McGree (Midfielder) – Muscle injury, expected return early March 2025

These absences could prove crucial, particularly for Middlesbrough, who are already struggling for form.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

The bookmakers have set intriguing odds for this encounter:

• Stoke City to win: 27.75% probability (Odds: 3.25)
• Draw: 26.18% probability (Odds: 3.60)
• Middlesbrough to win: 46.07% probability (Odds: 2.10)

Additional markets:

• Over 1.5 goals: 74.87% probability (Odds: 1.26)
• Over 2.5 goals: 44.5% probability (Odds: 1.84)

Match Analysis and Betting Advice

Despite Stoke City’s home advantage and Middlesbrough’s poor recent form, the bookmakers surprisingly favor an away win. This could be attributed to Middlesbrough’s higher league position and their victory in the teams’ last league encounter.

However, several factors suggest this match could be closer than the odds indicate:

1. Stoke’s home form has been improving, with the team unbeaten in their last four home league games (W2 D2).
2. Middlesbrough’s alarming losing streak and defensive vulnerabilities.
3. The potential impact of key injuries on both sides.

Given these considerations, the best betting value may lie in the following options:

1. Double Chance: Stoke City or Draw (1X) – This covers two of three possible outcomes and offers security against Middlesbrough’s favored odds.

2. Over 1.5 goals – With a high probability of 74.87% and relatively short odds of 1.26, this bet offers a safer option for those seeking a more conservative approach.

3. Both Teams to Score – While not listed in the provided odds, this could be an attractive option given both teams’ defensive frailties and the likelihood of an open, attacking game as both sides chase crucial points.

Remember, while these suggestions are based on careful analysis, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

As the Championship season enters its crucial phase, this match between Stoke City and Middlesbrough promises to be a captivating encounter with significant implications for both teams’ seasons. Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, it’s a fixture that shouldn’t be missed.

References:
[1] Pre-match Stoke City vs Middlesbrough – Championship 2025
[2] Stoke City – Suspensions and Injuries – Transfermarkt
[3] EFL Championship Injuries & Suspensions – Sportsgambler
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