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Burnley vs Stoke City: Championship Clash Set for New Year’s Day 2025

As the Championship season heats up, football fans are in for a treat on January 1, 2025, when Burnley hosts Stoke City at Turf Moor. This New Year’s Day fixture promises to be an exciting encounter between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the league.

Current Form and League Positions

Burnley, currently sitting in 3rd place in the Championship, have been in impressive form this season. The Clarets have shown resilience and attacking prowess, with recent victories bolstering their promotion hopes. Their last outing saw them secure a convincing 2-0 win against Sheffield United, demonstrating their ability to perform against top-tier opposition.

Stoke City, on the other hand, find themselves in a more precarious position, hovering around 19th place in the league table. The Potters have struggled for consistency this season, with recent results highlighting their vulnerabilities, particularly in defense. Their last match resulted in a 2-0 defeat to Leeds United, adding pressure to their upcoming fixture against Burnley.

Head-to-Head and Recent Encounters

The history between these two sides favors Burnley, who are unbeaten in their last six league games against Stoke City. Their most recent encounter on November 30, 2024, saw Burnley emerge victorious with a 2-0 win at the bet365 Stadium. This trend suggests that Burnley will enter the New Year’s Day match with a psychological edge.

• Last meeting: Stoke City 0-2 Burnley (November 30, 2024)
• Burnley’s home record against Stoke: 4 wins, 2 draws in the last 6 matches

Betting Odds and Probabilities

For those looking to place a wager on this Championship clash, here are the current odds and probabilities:

• Burnley to win: Probability 58.12%, Odds 1.48
• Draw: Probability 27.23%, Odds 4.10
• Stoke City to win: Probability 14.66%, Odds 7.00
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 69.63%, Odds 1.38
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 42.93%, Odds 2.20

Key Factors Influencing the Match

Several factors could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this New Year’s Day encounter:

1. Burnley’s Home Advantage

Burnley have traditionally been strong at Turf Moor, and their recent form suggests they will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage. The Clarets have lost only two of their last 24 home games in the Championship, making them formidable opponents on their own turf.

2. Stoke City’s Away Form Struggles

Stoke’s performances away from home have been a concern this season. The Potters have struggled to find consistency on the road, which could be a significant factor against a strong Burnley side.

3. Injury Concerns

Both teams have had to deal with injury issues in recent weeks. Stoke City, in particular, have been hit hard, with key players like Sam Gallagher and Million Manhoef facing fitness concerns. Burnley, while having a more stable squad, will need to manage any fatigue from the busy holiday fixture list.

Betting Analysis and Recommendations

Considering the form guide, head-to-head record, and current odds, here are some betting recommendations for the Burnley vs Stoke City match:

• Burnley to Win (1.48): With a 58.12% probability, this appears to be the safest bet. Burnley’s strong home record and recent form make them clear favorites.
• Over 1.5 Goals (1.38): With a high probability of 69.63%, this bet offers good value. Both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals this season.
• Burnley to Win and Over 1.5 Goals: Combining these two outcomes could provide an attractive option for those looking for higher odds.

For more adventurous bettors, the Over 2.5 Goals market at 2.20 odds could be tempting, given Burnley’s attacking prowess and Stoke’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, with a 42.93% probability, this carries more risk.

Conclusion

As we look forward to this New Year’s Day Championship fixture, all signs point towards an entertaining match with Burnley as the favorites. The Clarets’ consistent performances, coupled with their strong home record, give them a significant edge over a struggling Stoke City side.

While football is always unpredictable, the smart money appears to be on a Burnley victory with goals. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and within your means. Enjoy what promises to be an exciting start to the footballing year in 2025!

References:
[1] Stoke City Injuries & Suspensions news – Football – NewsNow
[2] Ryan Shawcross makes Stoke City demand as he tackles big job …
[3] Regis Le Bris offers injury update on Chris Rigg and Ian Poveda as …
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