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Prono VfB Stuttgart contre FC St. Pauli du 21/12/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli: Bundesliga Clash and Betting Odds Analysis (21/12/2024)

As the Bundesliga heats up in the 2024/2025 season, all eyes are on the upcoming match between VfB Stuttgart and FC St. Pauli, scheduled for December 21, 2024, at the MHPArena. This fixture promises to be an intriguing battle, with both teams looking to secure crucial points in their respective campaigns. Let’s dive into the match preview and analyze the betting odds to give you the edge in your sports betting endeavors.

Team Form and Recent Performances

VfB Stuttgart, currently sitting in a respectable 6th place after 14 matches, has been showcasing impressive form. Their recent 3-1 victory against Heidenheim demonstrates their attacking prowess and resilience. The team’s unbeaten run in their last four league games has boosted their confidence, making them formidable opponents on their home turf.

On the other hand, FC St. Pauli finds themselves in a precarious 15th position, just one point above the relegation play-off spot. Their recent 0-2 loss to Werder Bremen at home highlights the challenges they face. The Kiezkicker will need to dig deep and find their fighting spirit to overcome the odds in this away fixture.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

The history between these two teams adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match. While they haven’t faced each other in the top flight since the 2010/11 season, their encounters in Bundesliga 2 and cup competitions have generally favored Stuttgart. The last time these teams met in the Bundesliga, VfB Stuttgart emerged victorious both home and away.

  • Last Bundesliga meeting: 2010/11 season (Stuttgart won both matches)
  • Recent Bundesliga 2 encounters (2019/20 and 2016/17): Stuttgart won three, drew one
  • 2012/13 DFB Cup: Stuttgart secured a 3-0 victory

This historical dominance gives Stuttgart a psychological edge, but in football, past results don’t always dictate future outcomes.

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

Let’s break down the betting odds and probabilities for this match:

  • VfB Stuttgart to win: Probability 66.84%, Odds 1.47
  • Draw: Probability 23.83%, Odds 4.70
  • FC St. Pauli to win: Probability 9.33%, Odds 6.25
  • Over 1.5 goals: Probability 80.31%, Odds 1.19
  • Over 2.5 goals: Probability 55.44%, Odds 1.66

Analyzing these numbers, it’s clear that the bookmakers heavily favor a VfB Stuttgart victory. With a probability of 66.84% and odds of 1.47, a bet on the home team seems the safest option. However, the relatively low odds mean the potential return on investment is limited.

The over 1.5 goals market looks particularly attractive, with a high probability of 80.31% and odds of 1.19. This bet could be a solid choice for those looking for a safer option with a high likelihood of success.

For those willing to take a calculated risk, the over 2.5 goals market presents an interesting opportunity. With a probability of 55.44% and more favorable odds of 1.66, this bet offers a better balance between risk and potential reward.

It’s worth noting that while FC St. Pauli’s chances of winning are slim according to the odds, football is known for its unpredictability. Their odds of 6.25 could tempt some bettors looking for a high-risk, high-reward option.

As we approach the match day, keep an eye on key players who could influence the outcome. For Stuttgart, Nick Woltemade has been in scintillating form, scoring in all three of his December appearances with a total of four goals. His performance could be crucial in determining the match result and potentially affecting the goal markets.

In conclusion, based on the current form, historical context, and betting odds, a VfB Stuttgart win with over 1.5 goals seems the most probable outcome. However, as always in sports betting, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and consider your own analysis alongside these predictions.

Remember, the beautiful game often surprises us, and that’s what makes Bundesliga matches like VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli so exciting. Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, this December 21st clash promises to be a thrilling encounter in the 2024/2025 Bundesliga season.

References:
[1] FC St. Pauli – VfB Stuttgart | Season 2024/2025 – Bundesliga
[2] VfB Stuttgart – FC St. Pauli Live – Bundesliga – Eurosport
[3] VfB Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli – Bundesliga
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