Prono Malaga contre Eldense du 18/12/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Malaga vs Eldense: Segunda Division Clash on 18/12/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

As the Segunda Division heats up, football fans and betting enthusiasts alike turn their attention to an intriguing mid-week fixture. Malaga is set to host Eldense at the iconic Estadio La Rosaleda on December 18, 2024, in what promises to be a closely contested match. With both teams looking to improve their positions in the league table, this encounter could prove pivotal in shaping their respective seasons.

Current Form and Standings

Heading into this fixture, Malaga finds themselves in 14th place with 24 points from 19 games. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in two draws and three losses (D D L L D). The team has struggled to find consistency, particularly in front of goal, having failed to score in 9 of their 19 matches this season.

Eldense, on the other hand, sits just below Malaga in 19th place with 20 points from the same number of games. Their recent form shows signs of improvement, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings (D L W D L). However, Eldense has faced scoring difficulties of late, failing to find the net in their last four Segunda Division matches.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited, with their most recent encounter ending in a 1-0 victory for Malaga. This suggests a historically tight contest between the two clubs, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.

Key Players to Watch

• For Malaga:
  • Antonio Cordero: Leading scorer with 3 goals and 3 assists
  • Dioni: Experienced striker with 3 goals to his name
• For Eldense:
  • Juanto: Top scorer with 5 goals, including one penalty
  • Marc Mateu: Creative force with 4 assists this season

Betting Odds and Probabilities

Let’s break down the betting odds and probabilities for this fixture:

• Malaga to win: Probability 44.27%, Odds 2.63
• Draw: Probability 27.08%, Odds 3.10
• Eldense to win: Probability 28.65%, Odds 2.60
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 65.63%, Odds 1.49
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 44.27%, Odds 2.60

Match Analysis and Betting Tips

This Segunda Division encounter presents an interesting betting landscape. Malaga, despite their higher league position, have been struggling for form. However, their home advantage at La Rosaleda gives them a slight edge, reflected in their higher win probability of 44.27%.

Eldense, while lower in the table, have shown recent signs of improvement. Their win probability of 28.65% suggests they shouldn’t be underestimated, especially given Malaga’s recent difficulties.

The most striking statistic is the high probability (65.63%) of over 1.5 goals being scored. This is somewhat surprising given both teams’ recent scoring troubles. However, it could indicate that bookmakers expect at least one team to break their goal drought in this match.

For those looking for the best value bet, consider the following options:

1. Over 1.5 goals at 1.49 odds seems the safest bet, with the highest probability of success.
2. For those seeking higher returns, the draw at 3.10 odds could be tempting, given both teams’ inconsistent form.
3. Brave punters might consider Eldense to win at 2.60, which offers good value considering their recent improvement and Malaga’s poor form.

Conclusion

As Malaga and Eldense prepare to face off on December 18, 2024, football fans can expect a tightly contested match with potentially significant implications for both teams’ seasons. While Malaga holds a slight advantage, Eldense’s recent form suggests they could spring a surprise.

For bettors, this match offers several intriguing options. The high probability of over 1.5 goals provides a relatively safe bet, while those looking for higher returns might consider the draw or an Eldense victory. As always, remember to gamble responsibly and within your means.

With both teams hungry for points and looking to climb the Segunda Division table, this mid-week clash at La Rosaleda promises to be an exciting encounter for fans and bettors alike.

References:
[1] Malaga-Eldense – Segunda División 2024/2025 … – WhoScored.com
[2] Malaga vs. Eldense – 18 December 2024 – Soccerway
[3] Malaga vs. Eldense – 18 December 2024 – Soccerway
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