Prono Rayo Vallecano contre Real Madrid du 14/12/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: La Liga Clash on 14/12/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

As the 2024-2025 La Liga season heats up, football fans are eagerly anticipating the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid on December 14, 2024. This fixture promises to be an exciting encounter, pitting the underdogs Rayo Vallecano against the perennial title contenders Real Madrid. Let’s dive into the details, analyze the teams’ current form, and explore the betting odds for this crucial La Liga clash.

Current Form and League Standings

Real Madrid, as of the latest available data, sits comfortably in second place in the La Liga table with 36 points from 16 matches. Their impressive record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses showcases their dominance in the league. With a goal difference of +21, scoring 34 goals and conceding only 13, Los Blancos continue to be a formidable force in Spanish football.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano finds themselves in a respectable 12th position with 19 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses indicates a season of mixed fortunes. With 15 goals scored and 16 conceded, Rayo’s goal difference of -1 suggests they’ve been competitive in most of their matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent history between these two Madrid-based clubs has been intriguing. In their last five encounters:

• February 18, 2024: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid
• November 5, 2023: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
• May 24, 2023: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
• November 7, 2022: Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Real Madrid
• February 26, 2022: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid

This record shows that Rayo Vallecano has been capable of causing upsets against their more illustrious opponents, making this upcoming match all the more intriguing for fans and bettors alike.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

For those looking to place a wager on this match, here are the current betting odds and probabilities:

• Rayo Vallecano to win: Probability 12.29%, Odds 6.25
• Draw: Probability 24.58%, Odds 3.90
• Real Madrid to win: Probability 63.13%, Odds 1.58
• Over 1.5 goals in the match: Probability 78.21%, Odds 1.22
• Over 2.5 goals in the match: Probability 55.87%, Odds 1.78

Match Analysis and Betting Tips

Given Real Madrid’s superior league position and overall squad quality, it’s no surprise that they are heavy favorites to win this match. However, Rayo Vallecano’s home advantage and their history of occasionally troubling Real Madrid make this an intriguing contest.

The odds suggest that a Real Madrid victory is the most likely outcome, with a 63.13% probability. However, smart bettors might consider the following factors:

• The high probability (78.21%) of over 1.5 goals being scored offers relatively safe odds at 1.22.
• The more tempting over 2.5 goals market, with a 55.87% probability and odds of 1.78, could be worth considering given Real Madrid’s attacking prowess and Rayo’s tendency to concede.
• For those looking for higher returns, a draw at odds of 3.90 might be appealing, especially considering two of the last five meetings ended in stalemates.

Real Madrid’s attacking trio of Kylian Mbappé, Vinícius Júnior, and Jude Bellingham has been in fine form this season, contributing significantly to their goal tally. Mbappé leads the scoring charts for Real with 9 goals, closely followed by Vinícius with 8. This firepower suggests that the over 2.5 goals market could be a smart bet.

For Rayo Vallecano, Jorge de Frutos has been their top scorer with 3 goals, while Isi Palazón leads in assists. Their ability to create chances could lead to an exciting, high-scoring affair, further supporting the over 2.5 goals bet.

Conclusion

While Real Madrid are clear favorites, Rayo Vallecano’s home advantage and their history of competitive matches against Los Blancos make this an enticing fixture. For bettors, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.78 odds seems to offer the best value, combining a reasonable probability with attractive returns.

As always, remember to gamble responsibly and within your means. The beautiful game of football often produces surprises, and while statistics and probabilities are helpful guides, they don’t guarantee outcomes. Enjoy the match, and may the best team win!

References:
[1] Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano Live – La Liga – Eurosport
[2] Real Madrid vs. Rayo (Mar 9, 2025) Live Score – ESPN
[3] Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H stats – SoccerPunter.com
Suivez le pronostic Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid et optimisez votre pari sportif !