Prono Swansea City contre Portsmouth du 30/11/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Swansea City vs Portsmouth: Championship Clash and Betting Insights for 30/11/2024

As the 2024-2025 Championship season heats up, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike turn their attention to the upcoming clash between Swansea City and Portsmouth. Set for November 30, 2024, this match promises to be a pivotal encounter for both sides as they navigate the competitive waters of England’s second tier.

Current Form and League Standings

Swansea City, currently sitting in 11th place in the Championship table, has shown a mixed bag of results this season. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses from their 17 matches played, the Swans have accumulated 22 points. Their goal difference of +1 (16 goals for, 15 against) suggests a team that’s been competitive but struggling to find consistency.

Portsmouth, on the other hand, finds themselves in a more precarious position. Occupying the 24th and final spot in the league, Pompey has managed just 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses from 15 games, amassing a mere 12 points. Their goal difference of -12 (16 scored, 28 conceded) highlights the defensive struggles that have plagued their campaign thus far.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

As we delve into the betting landscape for this fixture, several intriguing options present themselves:

• Swansea City to win: Probability 56.19%, Odds 1.71
• Draw: Probability 27.32%, Odds 3.65
• Portsmouth to win: Probability 16.49%, Odds 4.80
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 79.38%, Odds 1.35
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 51.55%, Odds 2.08

These odds reflect the bookmakers’ assessment of the likely outcomes, with Swansea City emerging as clear favorites. However, as seasoned bettors know, football is a game of surprises, and Portsmouth will be eager to defy expectations.

Analysis and Betting Strategy

When considering where to place your bets, it’s crucial to weigh the probabilities against the potential returns. Swansea’s home advantage and superior league position make them the safer bet, but the odds of 1.71 may not offer substantial value for risk-averse punters.

The ‘Over 1.5 goals’ market presents an interesting proposition. With a high probability of 79.38% and odds of 1.35, this bet offers a good balance of safety and return. Both teams have shown they can find the back of the net, with Swansea and Portsmouth scoring 16 goals each this season.

For those seeking higher returns and willing to take on more risk, the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market at odds of 2.08 could be tempting. With a probability just over 51%, this bet hinges on the match being more open than the average Championship encounter.

Portsmouth’s struggles this season might make them attractive to back at long odds of 4.80. However, their away form and defensive record suggest this would be a speculative punt at best.

The draw, priced at 3.65, could be a dark horse option. Championship matches are often tightly contested, and with Portsmouth likely to set up defensively against the favored Swans, a stalemate is not out of the question.

Conclusion: Balancing Risk and Reward

As the Swansea City and Portsmouth squads prepare to face off at the Swansea.com Stadium, bettors have a range of options to consider. The smart money appears to be on Swansea to secure the three points, but the real value may lie in the goals markets.

For those looking to combine safety with a decent return, backing ‘Over 1.5 goals’ stands out as the most prudent choice. The high probability coupled with reasonable odds makes this an attractive option for both novice and experienced bettors alike.

Ultimately, as with all betting endeavors, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and within one’s means. This Championship fixture between Swansea City and Portsmouth on November 30, 2024, promises to be an exciting affair both on the pitch and in the betting markets. May the odds be ever in your favor!

References:
[1] League Table – Swansea City
[2] Swansea City | League Table | Sky Bet Championship | 2024-2025
[3] Swansea vs. Portsmouth (Nov 30, 2024) Live Score – ESPN
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