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Millwall vs Sunderland: Championship Clash on 23/11/2024 – Betting Odds and Analysis

As the Championship season heats up, football fans are eagerly anticipating the upcoming match between Millwall and Sunderland on November 23, 2024. This fixture promises to be an exciting encounter between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the current campaign.

Current Form and Standings

Sunderland has been in impressive form this season, currently sitting at the top of the Championship table with 31 points from 15 matches. The Black Cats have shown remarkable consistency, with 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 25 times while conceding just 11, giving them a healthy +14 goal difference.

Millwall, on the other hand, finds themselves in a respectable 8th position with 23 points from 15 games. The Lions have displayed a mix of results, securing 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. With 18 goals scored and 13 conceded, Millwall has maintained a positive goal difference of +5.

Head-to-Head and Home Advantage

The match will take place at The Den, Millwall’s home ground, which could play a crucial role in the outcome. Millwall’s home record this season has been strong, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their 8 home games. This home advantage could be a significant factor against the league leaders.

However, Sunderland’s away form has been equally impressive, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their 8 away matches. This sets the stage for an intriguing battle between Millwall’s home strength and Sunderland’s away resilience.

Betting Odds and Probabilities

Let’s break down the betting odds and probabilities for this match:

• Millwall to win: Probability 37.36%, Odds 2.35
• Draw: Probability 27.47%, Odds 3.15
• Sunderland to win: Probability 35.16%, Odds 3.10
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 74.73%, Odds 1.46
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 42.86%, Odds 2.40

Match Analysis and Betting Tips

Despite Sunderland’s superior league position, the odds suggest a closely contested match. Millwall’s home advantage is reflected in their slightly higher win probability, but the difference is marginal. The close odds indicate that bookmakers view this as a potentially tight affair.

The most striking statistic is the high probability (74.73%) of over 1.5 goals being scored. This aligns with both teams’ goal-scoring records this season, particularly Sunderland’s impressive tally of 25 goals in 15 games.

For those looking to place a bet, the over 1.5 goals market at odds of 1.46 appears to be the safest option. However, the relatively low odds might not appeal to all bettors seeking higher returns.

A more adventurous bet could be on the over 2.5 goals market. With odds of 2.40 and a 42.86% probability, this offers a better potential return while still having a reasonable chance of success, especially considering Sunderland’s attacking prowess and Millwall’s tendency to both score and concede.

Conclusion

The Millwall vs Sunderland match on 23/11/2024 promises to be an exciting Championship encounter. While Sunderland’s league position suggests they are the stronger side, Millwall’s home advantage could level the playing field. For bettors, the goals markets seem to offer the most attractive propositions, with the over 1.5 goals bet providing a safer option and the over 2.5 goals offering higher potential returns for those willing to take a bit more risk.

As always, it’s important to remember that football is unpredictable, and no outcome is guaranteed. Bet responsibly and enjoy what should be a thrilling Championship clash at The Den.

References:
[1] Millwall v Sunderland LIVE 23/11/2024 | Football – Flashscore
[2] Millwall vs Sunderland H2H 23 nov 2024 Head to Head … – FcTables
[3] Millwall | League Table | Sky Bet Championship | 2024-2025
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