Prono Zaragoza contre Malaga du 17/11/2024 : misez sur les statistiques !

Zaragoza vs Malaga: A Crucial Segunda Division Clash on 17/11/2024

As the Segunda Division heats up, all eyes turn to the Estadio de la Romareda for a pivotal matchup between Real Zaragoza and Malaga on November 17, 2024. This game week 15 encounter promises to be a thrilling contest with significant implications for both teams’ promotion aspirations.

Current Form and Standings

Real Zaragoza, currently sitting in 3rd place with 23 points, has shown impressive form this season. Their recent results (D W W L W) demonstrate a team capable of competing at the highest level of the Segunda Division. On the other hand, Malaga, positioned 10th with 20 points, has been equally resilient, boasting an unbeaten run in their last five matches (W L W D D).

• Real Zaragoza: 7 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses
• Malaga: 4 wins, 8 draws, 1 loss

These statistics highlight Malaga’s defensive solidity, having lost only once this season, while Zaragoza’s higher position reflects their more aggressive, win-focused approach.

Betting Odds and Probability Analysis

For those looking to place a wager on this exciting fixture, let’s break down the odds and probabilities:

• Zaragoza to win: Probability 46.86%, Odds 1.83
• Draw: Probability 32.57%, Odds 3.10
• Malaga to win: Probability 20.57%, Odds 4.60
• Over 1.5 goals: Probability 64.57%, Odds 1.37
• Over 2.5 goals: Probability 42.29%, Odds 2.32

The bookmakers seem to favor a home win for Zaragoza, which aligns with their higher league position and home advantage. However, Malaga’s impressive unbeaten run shouldn’t be overlooked, making the draw an intriguing option for more conservative bettors.

The high probability (64.57%) for over 1.5 goals suggests that we’re likely to see some action on the scoresheet. However, the more modest 42.29% chance for over 2.5 goals indicates that a high-scoring affair isn’t necessarily expected.

Key Factors to Consider

Several elements could influence the outcome of this match:

• Home Advantage: Zaragoza’s Estadio de la Romareda can be a fortress, potentially giving them an edge.
• Malaga’s Resilience: With only one loss this season, Malaga has proven tough to beat.
• Goal Scoring: Zaragoza has netted 24 goals in 14 matches, while Malaga has scored 12 in 13, suggesting Zaragoza may have the offensive edge.
• Defense: Malaga’s single loss indicates a solid backline that could frustrate Zaragoza’s attack.

Recent head-to-head statistics between these two sides could provide additional insight, but unfortunately, we don’t have that data available for this analysis.

Betting Recommendation

Considering the odds and probabilities, here’s our recommended betting strategy for the Zaragoza vs Malaga match:

• Primary Bet: Over 1.5 goals (Odds 1.37) – This offers the highest probability of success at 64.57%, albeit with lower returns.
• Value Bet: Draw (Odds 3.10) – Given Malaga’s ability to avoid defeats and the competitive nature of the Segunda Division, this could provide good value.
• Risky Bet: Zaragoza to win and Over 2.5 goals – Combining Zaragoza’s favorite status with the over 2.5 goals market could yield higher returns for those willing to take a bigger risk.

Remember, while these recommendations are based on statistical analysis, football remains unpredictable. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

Conclusion: Zaragoza and Malaga Set for a Segunda Division Spectacle

As November 17, 2024, approaches, football fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this clash between Real Zaragoza and Malaga. With Zaragoza pushing for promotion and Malaga looking to continue their unbeaten run, we’re set for a fascinating encounter that could have significant ramifications for the Segunda Division table.

Whether you’re a die-hard supporter or a casual observer, this match promises to deliver excitement, tactical intrigue, and potentially, profitable betting opportunities. As the teams take to the field at the Estadio de la Romareda, all eyes will be on who can seize the moment and claim a crucial three points in the race for La Liga promotion.

References:
[1] Real Zaragoza vs. Malaga – 17 November 2024 – Soccerway
[2] Zaragoza vs Malaga H2H stats 17 November 2024 – Scores24
[3] Segunda División – Spain – Results, fixtures, tables and news
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